Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Peer-reviewed

The Impact of Meteorological Forcing Uncertainty on Hydrological Modeling: A Global Analysis of Cryosphere Basins

Guoqiang Tang, Martyn Clark, Wouter Knoben, Hongli Liu, Shervan Gharari, Louise Arnal, Hylke E. Beck, Andrew W. Wood, Andrew J. Newman, Simon Michael Papalexiou

Water Resources Research · 2023

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Summary

Abstract Meteorological forcing is a major source of uncertainty in hydrological modeling. The recent development of probabilistic large‐domain meteorological data sets enables convenient uncertainty characterization, which however is rarely explored in large‐domain research. This study analyzes how uncertainties in meteorological forcing data affect hydrological modeling in 289 representative cryosphere basins by forcing the Structure for Unifying Multiple Modeling Alternatives (SUMMA) and mizuRoute models with precipitation and air temperature ensembles from the Ensemble Meteorological Data set for Planet Earth (EM‐Earth). EM‐Earth probabilistic estimates are used in ensemble simulation for uncertainty analysis. The results reveal the magnitude, spatial distribution, and scale effect of

Source type
Peer-reviewed study
DOI
10.1029/2022wr033767
Catalogue ID
BFmoef2us2-cj5ktz
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