Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Peer-reviewed

Income, consumer preferences, and the future of livestock-derived food demand

Adam M. Komarek, Shahnila Dunston, Dolapo Enahoro, H. Charles J. Godfray, Mario Herrero, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Karl M. Rich, Peter Scarborough, Marco Springmann, Timothy B. Sulser, Keith Wiebe, Dirk Willenbockel

Global Environmental Change · 2021

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Summary

In recent decades there has been a sustained and substantial shift in human diets across the globe towards including more livestock-derived foods. Continuing debates scrutinize how these dietary shifts affect human health, the natural environment, and livelihoods. However, amidst these debates there remain unanswered questions about how demand for livestock-derived foods may evolve over the upcoming decades for a range of scenarios for key drivers of change including human population, income, and consumer preferences. Future trends in human population and income in our scenarios were sourced from three of the shared socioeconomic pathways. We used scenario-based modeling to show that average protein demand for red meat (beef, sheep, goats, and pork), poultry, dairy milk, and eggs across th

Source type
Peer-reviewed study
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102343
Catalogue ID
BFmoef2vji-qmg87t
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