Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Polygenic Prediction of Weight and Obesity Trajectories from Birth to Adulthood

Amit V. Khera, Mark Chaffin, Kaitlin H. Wade, Sohail Zahid, Joseph Brancale, Rui Xia, Marina T. DiStefano, Ozlem Senol-Cosar, Mary E. Haas, Alexander G. Bick, Krishna G. Aragam, Eric S. Lander, George Davey Smith, Heather Mason‐Suares, Myriam Fornage, Matthew S. Lebo, Nicholas J. Timpson, Lee M. Kaplan, Sekar Kathiresan

Cell · 2019

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Summary

This 2019 Cell study presents a polygenic prediction approach for identifying individuals at elevated genetic risk for obesity across the lifespan, leveraging large-scale genomic data to construct risk scores that stratify weight gain trajectories from birth to adulthood. The work suggests that heritable factors contribute substantially to inter-individual variation in obesity risk, though the relative contribution of genetic versus environmental influences is not fully disentangled. The findings may inform early identification of high-risk individuals, though clinical utility would depend on integration with environmental and behavioural risk factors.

UK applicability

Polygenic risk scoring approaches developed in predominantly European ancestry populations (as this study likely employed) have moderate transferability to UK populations with similar ancestry composition, but clinical application would require validation in diverse UK cohorts and integration with NHS prevention and weight management pathways. The genetic findings themselves are population-independent, but predictive accuracy and clinical thresholds may require UK-specific calibration.

Key measures

Polygenic risk scores (PRS); body mass index (BMI); weight trajectories; obesity classification; genetic variants associated with weight gain

Outcomes reported

The study developed and validated polygenic risk scores to predict weight and obesity trajectories from birth through adulthood. It assessed how genetic factors influence individual variation in weight gain patterns and obesity risk across different life stages.

Theme
Nutrition & health
Subject
Dietary patterns & chronic disease
Study type
Research
Study design
Observational cohort
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
United States
System type
Human clinical
DOI
10.1016/j.cell.2019.03.028
Catalogue ID
BFmokjo8sc-1zu90a

Topic tags

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