Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Continental-scale convection-permitting modeling of the current and future climate of North America

Changhai Liu, Kyoko Ikeda, Roy Rasmussen, Mike Barlage, Andrew J. Newman, Andreas F. Prein, Fei Chen, Liang Chen, Martyn Clark, Aiguo Dai, Jimy Dudhia, Trude Eidhammer, David Gochis, E. D. Gutmann, Sopan Kurkute, Yanping Li, Gregory Thompson, David Yates

Climate Dynamics · 2016

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Summary

This paper presents a continental-scale convection-permitting modelling framework for simulating North American climate at kilometre-scale resolution, enabling explicit representation of convective storms and mesoscale precipitation features. The work uses such high-resolution simulations to evaluate current climate fidelity and project changes in precipitation intensity, frequency, and extremes under future climate scenarios. Although primarily a climate science contribution, the fine-scale precipitation and temperature projections are relevant to agricultural water availability and extreme-weather risk assessment across farming regions.

UK applicability

The modelling methodology and convection-permitting approach are transferable to UK and European climate research; however, the geographic domain and North American parameterisation limit direct applicability to UK farming systems. The techniques may inform development of similar high-resolution climate projections for UK agricultural planning.

Key measures

High-resolution (≤4 km grid spacing) simulations of precipitation, temperature, wind, and convective processes; comparison of current-climate and future-climate scenarios

Outcomes reported

The study employed convection-permitting climate models to simulate current and projected future climate conditions across North America, with emphasis on precipitation and extreme weather patterns.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Climate & greenhouse gas mitigation
Study type
Research
Study design
Computational modelling study
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
North America
System type
Other
DOI
10.1007/s00382-016-3327-9
Catalogue ID
BFmommpl0r-cvojzr

Topic tags

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