Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Climate change impacts on agricultural suitability and yield reduction in a Mediterranean region

Sameh Kotb Abd‐Elmabod, Miriam Muñoz‐Rojas, António Jordán, María Anaya Romero, Jonathan D. Phillips, Laurence Jones, Zhenhua Zhang, Paulo Pereira, Luuk Fleskens, Martine van der Ploeg, Diego de la Rosa

Geoderma · 2020

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Summary

This paper models the impacts of projected climate change on agricultural suitability and yield in a Mediterranean region, integrating soil properties and climatic variables to assess vulnerability of cropping systems. The authors used spatial soil and climate data to evaluate how warming and altered precipitation patterns may reduce productive capacity across different land classes. The findings suggest climate change poses significant risks to Mediterranean agriculture, with implications for regional food security and land use planning.

UK applicability

Whilst conducted in Mediterranean conditions with different baseline climate and soil types, the methodological approach to integrating soil data with climate projections to assess agricultural suitability has potential relevance for UK climate adaptation planning, particularly for southern English arable regions facing warmer, drier scenarios.

Key measures

Agricultural suitability indices, crop yield reduction projections, soil-climate interaction effects under climate change scenarios

Outcomes reported

The study assessed how climate change projections affect agricultural suitability and crop yield potential across a Mediterranean region, using soil and climatic data to model future production capacity.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Climate & greenhouse gas mitigation
Study type
Research
Study design
Field trial / modelling study
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
Spain
System type
Arable cereals
DOI
10.1016/j.geoderma.2020.114453
Catalogue ID
BFmor3g5wd-xf9sps

Topic tags

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