Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

The future intensification of hourly precipitation extremes

Andreas F. Prein, Roy Rasmussen, Kyoko Ikeda, Changhai Liu, Martyn Clark, Greg J. Holland

Nature Climate Change · 2016

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Summary

This peer-reviewed modelling study used high-resolution climate simulations to project intensification of hourly precipitation extremes in a warming climate. The work, published in Nature Climate Change, contributes to climate science understanding of future extreme weather patterns. Whilst the paper focuses on atmospheric climate dynamics rather than agriculture directly, the findings have implications for farming system resilience and water management in affected regions.

UK applicability

The study's findings on precipitation intensification are relevant to UK agricultural planning and water resource management, as similar intensification of extreme rainfall events is projected for British Isles. Understanding these trends informs adaptation strategies for rainfed and irrigated farming systems.

Key measures

Hourly precipitation intensity and frequency under current and future climate scenarios; precipitation extremes at sub-daily timescales

Outcomes reported

The study projected changes in the frequency and intensity of hourly precipitation extremes under future climate scenarios using high-resolution climate modelling. The research examined how sub-daily precipitation patterns are expected to intensify as global temperatures rise.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Climate & greenhouse gas mitigation
Study type
Research
Study design
Modelling study
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
United States
System type
Other
DOI
10.1038/nclimate3168
Catalogue ID
BFmor3gf2d-qq2mbk

Topic tags

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