Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Identifying the safe operating space for food systems

Sofie te Wierik, Fabrice DeClerck, Arthur Beusen, Dieter Gerten, Federico Maggi, Anna Norberg, Kevin J. Noone, Lena Schulte‐Uebbing, Marco Springmann, Fiona H. M. Tang, W. de Vries, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Sonja Vermeulen, Johan Rockström

Nature Food · 2025

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Summary

This analysis quantifies the safe operating space for global food systems by calculating food system-specific boundaries as shares of planetary boundaries. The work demonstrates that food systems currently transgress all nine boundaries, with particular dominance in driving biosphere integrity loss, land conversion, freshwater depletion, and nutrient cycle disruption. The authors propose concrete budgets and interventions—including substantial emissions reductions, agricultural land use constraints, fertiliser redistribution, and limits on chemical inputs—necessary to align food systems with planetary stability.

UK applicability

The UK, as a net food importer reliant on global food systems, is both affected by and contributes to these transgressions. The findings have direct relevance to UK agricultural policy, particularly around subsidy reform, land use planning, nutrient management regulations, and food system resilience targets outlined in environmental strategies.

Key measures

Food system budgets as proportional shares of nine planetary boundaries (biosphere integrity, land system change, freshwater change, biogeochemical flows, climate change, novel entities, and others); quantification of transgression magnitude across each boundary

Outcomes reported

The study calculated food system boundaries across nine planetary boundaries and quantified how much global food systems currently exceed these safe operating limits. The research identified specific interventions required to bring food systems within planetary boundaries, including reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, halting agricultural conversion of natural habitats, redistributing fertiliser inputs, and limiting pesticide and antibiotic use.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Climate & greenhouse gas mitigation
Study type
Research
Study design
Policy report
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
Global
System type
Food supply chain
DOI
10.1038/s43016-025-01252-6
Catalogue ID
BFmor3ggd1-8i39kp

Topic tags

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