Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Ambitious food system interventions required to mitigate the risk of exceeding Earth’s environmental limits

Michalis Hadjikakou, Nicholas Bowles, Özge Geyik, J.G. Conijn, José M. Mogollón, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Adrian Müller, Isabelle Weindl, Enayat A. Moallemi, M. Abdullah Shaikh, Kerstin Damerau, Kyle Frankel Davis, Stephan Pfister, Marco Springmann, Michael Clark, Geneviève S. Metson, Elin Röös, Bojana Bajželj, Neal T. Graham, Dominik Wisser, Jonathan Doelman, Андре Депперманн, Michaela C. Theurl, Prajal Pradhan, Miodrag Stevanović, Christian Lauk, Jinfeng Chang, Vera Heck, Ertug Ercin, Liqing Peng, Nathaniel Springer, Lex Bouwman, Tiago G. Morais, Hugo Valin, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Karl‐Heinz Erb, Alexander Popp, Mario Herrero, Patrice Dumas, Xin Zhang, Brett A. Bryan

One Earth · 2025

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Summary

This 2025 modelling study by Hadjikakou et al. examines the scale of food system transformation needed to keep human food production and consumption within Earth's planetary boundaries. Drawing on integrated assessment modelling, the authors simulate ambitious interventions across production efficiency, dietary composition, and food waste reduction, identifying which combinations of changes are sufficient to prevent exceeding critical environmental thresholds. The work suggests that incremental changes alone are insufficient; substantial simultaneous shifts across multiple system components are required.

UK applicability

The UK, as a high-income nation with significant food imports and per-capita dietary footprints, is likely implicated in the modelled scenarios requiring dietary change and waste reduction. The findings may inform UK food policy frameworks, particularly those addressing net-zero commitments and the National Food Strategy.

Key measures

Planetary boundary transgressions (nitrogen, phosphorus, land use, freshwater, climate); greenhouse gas emissions; food security outcomes

Outcomes reported

The study modelled ambitious food system interventions across production, consumption and waste reduction to assess their capacity to mitigate exceeding Earth's environmental limits. It reported on the combined effects of dietary shifts, agricultural intensity changes, and waste reduction on multiple planetary boundaries.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Food security & global nutrition
Study type
Research
Study design
Policy modelling / Scenario analysis
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
Global
System type
Food supply chain
DOI
10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101351
Catalogue ID
BFmor3ggd1-ckgqj7

Topic tags

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