Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Ambitious food system interventions required to mitigate the risk of exceeding Earth’s environmental limits

Michalis Hadjikakou, Nicholas Bowles, Özge Geyik, J.G. Conijn, José M. Mogollón, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Adrian Müller, Isabelle Weindl, Enayat A. Moallemi, M. Abdullah Shaikh, Kerstin Damerau, Kyle Frankel Davis, Stephan Pfister, Marco Springmann, Michael Clark, Geneviève S. Metson, Elin Röös, Bojana Bajželj, Neal T. Graham, Dominik Wisser, Jonathan Doelman, Андре Депперманн, Michaela C. Theurl, Prajal Pradhan, Miodrag Stevanović, Christian Lauk, Jinfeng Chang, Vera Heck, Ertug Ercin, Liqing Peng, Nathaniel Springer, Lex Bouwman, Tiago G. Morais, Hugo Valin, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Karl‐Heinz Erb, Alexander Popp, Mario Herrero, Patrice Dumas, Xin Zhang, Brett A. Bryan

One Earth · 2025

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Summary

This 2025 modelling study, authored by an international research consortium, examines the magnitude and nature of food system transformations necessary to prevent exceeding multiple planetary boundaries. The authors integrate production, consumption, and waste dimensions across global food supply chains to identify which interventions—or combinations—are most effective for aligning food systems with Earth system limits. As a systems-level modelling exercise, the work contributes to understanding the scale of change required across the entire food system rather than isolated components.

UK applicability

The findings provide a global context for UK food policy, though applicability depends on how UK-specific production and consumption patterns align with the modelled scenarios. The research is relevant to UK efforts to meet net-zero commitments and circular economy goals, but translation to UK-scale would require disaggregation of results and consideration of UK agricultural capacity and import dependencies.

Key measures

Transgression of Earth system boundaries; food system transformation scenarios across production, consumption, and waste; intervention effectiveness in staying within planetary limits

Outcomes reported

The study modelled the scale and composition of food system changes needed across production, consumption, and waste dimensions to prevent transgression of multiple Earth system boundaries. It evaluated which interventions or combinations thereof are most critical for alignment with planetary limits.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Food security & global nutrition
Study type
Research
Study design
Modelling study
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
Global
System type
Food supply chain
DOI
10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101351
Catalogue ID
BFmovbmp89-7hv352

Topic tags

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