Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Climate change impacts on agricultural suitability and yield reduction in a Mediterranean region

Sameh Kotb Abd‐Elmabod, Miriam Muñoz‐Rojas, António Jordán, María Anaya Romero, Jonathan D. Phillips, Laurence Jones, Zhenhua Zhang, Paulo Pereira, Luuk Fleskens, Martine van der Ploeg, Diego de la Rosa

Geoderma · 2020

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Summary

This modelling study coupled detailed soil characterisation with downscaled regional climate projections to assess shifts in agricultural suitability and quantify yield reductions for major crops across a Mediterranean region. By integrating geospatial soil properties with climate scenarios, the authors mapped spatial patterns of vulnerability and identified potential adaptation and resilience options for farming systems facing climate-induced environmental change. The work provides a framework for understanding how soil–climate interactions will shape future agricultural viability in Mediterranean regions.

UK applicability

Whilst the focus is Mediterranean agriculture, the methodological framework of coupling soil data with climate projections may be applicable to UK agricultural vulnerability assessment, particularly for crops nearing their current climatic suitability thresholds. However, UK soils, climate zones, and crop portfolios differ substantially, limiting direct transferability of the specific vulnerability patterns identified.

Key measures

Agricultural suitability indices, crop yield projections, spatial vulnerability maps derived from soil characterisation data integrated with downscaled regional climate models

Outcomes reported

The study assessed future shifts in agricultural suitability and quantified potential yield reductions across major crops under climate change scenarios. It mapped spatial patterns of agricultural vulnerability and identified adaptation pathways for Mediterranean farming systems.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Climate & greenhouse gas mitigation
Study type
Research
Study design
Modelling study
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
Spain
System type
Mixed farming
DOI
10.1016/j.geoderma.2020.114453
Catalogue ID
BFmovi1zai-0l2got

Topic tags

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