Summary
This modelling study examines how China's evolving food demand—driven by demographic and economic change—will reshape domestic agricultural production and international trade patterns through to mid-century, with implications for global food security and environmental sustainability. The authors integrate demand projections with agricultural systems modelling to assess trade-offs between domestic production intensification, land-use expansion, and import dependence. The findings as suggested by the title highlight the interlinkage between China's food system transformation and global agricultural and environmental outcomes.
UK applicability
The study's projections of China's growing food import demand and production constraints may inform UK trade policy and agricultural strategy, particularly regarding export opportunities and supply chain resilience for high-value products. The environmental footprint analysis could inform bilateral sustainability standards and supply-chain due diligence frameworks.
Key measures
Projected food demand by commodity type; agricultural production capacity; trade balances; land-use change; greenhouse gas emissions; environmental footprints
Outcomes reported
The study projected China's future food demand across multiple scenarios and modelled the implications for domestic agricultural production, international trade flows, and environmental pressures including land use and greenhouse gas emissions.
Topic tags
Dig deeper with Pulse AI.
Pulse AI has read the whole catalogue. Ask about this record, its theme, or how the findings apply to UK farming and policy — every answer cites the underlying studies.