Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 3 — Observational / field trialPeer-reviewed

Ambitious food system interventions required to mitigate the risk of exceeding Earth’s environmental limits

Michalis Hadjikakou, Nicholas Bowles, Özge Geyik, J.G. Conijn, José M. Mogollón, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Adrian Müller, Isabelle Weindl, Enayat A. Moallemi, M. Abdullah Shaikh, Kerstin Damerau, Kyle Frankel Davis, Stephan Pfister, Marco Springmann, Michael Clark, Geneviève S. Metson, Elin Röös, Bojana Bajželj, Neal T. Graham, Dominik Wisser, Jonathan Doelman, Андре Депперманн, Michaela C. Theurl, Prajal Pradhan, Miodrag Stevanović, Christian Lauk, Jinfeng Chang, Vera Heck, Ertug Ercin, Liqing Peng, Nathaniel Springer, Lex Bouwman, Tiago G. Morais, Hugo Valin, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Karl‐Heinz Erb, Alexander Popp, Mario Herrero, Patrice Dumas, Xin Zhang, Brett A. Bryan

One Earth · 2025

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Summary

This multi-author modelling study, published in One Earth in 2025, evaluates the scale of food system transformation needed to align global agriculture and consumption with planetary boundaries. Using integrated assessment modelling, the authors explore how combinations of dietary shifts, production efficiency gains, and technological innovation might mitigate risks of exceeding critical environmental thresholds. The findings suggest that incremental changes alone are insufficient; ambitious simultaneous interventions across production, consumption, and land use are required.

UK applicability

The findings are relevant to UK food policy and net-zero strategy, particularly regarding dietary guidelines, agricultural innovation targets, and import-dependency considerations. However, application requires localisation to UK-specific constraints (climate, land availability, supply chain structure) and consideration of international trade implications.

Key measures

Environmental limits for climate, freshwater, nitrogen and phosphorus cycles, land-use change; food system outcomes across dietary scenarios and production innovations

Outcomes reported

The study modelled ambitious food system interventions required to keep production within planetary boundaries across multiple environmental domains (climate, water, nitrogen, phosphorus, land use). It assessed the feasibility and trade-offs of different dietary and production pathway scenarios.

Theme
Policy, governance & rights
Subject
Food & agricultural policy
Study type
Research
Study design
Policy report
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
Geography
Global
System type
Food supply chain
DOI
10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101351
Catalogue ID
MGmounwdrt-x6lcon

Topic tags

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