Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Peer-reviewed

Modeling desirable futures at local scale by combining the nature futures framework and multi-objective optimization

Chihiro Haga, Marimi Maeda, Wataru Hotta, Takanori Matsui, Masahiro Nakaoka, Junko Morimoto, Hideaki Shibata, Shizuka Hashimoto, Osamu Saitô, Sana Okayasu, Hyejin Kim, Garry Peterson

Sustainability Science · 2023

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Summary

Abstract Envisioning positive scenarios that recognize the multiple values of nature is fundamental for designing transformative changes in local socio-ecological systems. This study developed a protocol with three specifications for operationalizing the Nature Futures Framework (NFF) in a landscape scenario analysis using a multi-objective optimization framework composed of: (1) exploring nature-positive futures, (2) seeking alternative pathways for targets satisfying visions of plural values, and (3) screening key direct drivers to achieve the targets. This research conducted a case study of a rural landscape in northeastern Japan. First, 110 strategies of landscape management options were simulated from 2015 to 2100 using a forest landscape model, LANDIS-II. The simulation developed a d

Source type
Peer-reviewed study
DOI
10.1007/s11625-023-01301-8
Catalogue ID
SNmohku2m2-gpmjhb
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