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Peer-reviewed

Towards robust seasonal streamflow forecasts in mountainous catchments: impact of calibration metric selection in hydrological modeling

Diego Araya, Pablo A. Mendoza, Eduardo Muñoz‐Castro, James McPhee

Hydrology and earth system sciences · 2023

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Summary

Abstract. Dynamical (i.e., model-based) methods are widely used by forecasting centers to generate seasonal streamflow forecasts, building upon process-based hydrological models that require parameter specification (i.e., calibration). Here, we investigate the extent to which the choice of calibration objective function affects the quality of seasonal (spring–summer) streamflow hindcasts produced with the traditional ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) method and explore connections between hindcast skill and hydrological consistency – measured in terms of biases in hydrological signatures – obtained from the model parameter sets. To this end, we calibrate three popular conceptual rainfall-runoff models (GR4J, TUW, and Sacramento) using 12 different objective functions, including seasonal

Source type
Peer-reviewed study
DOI
10.5194/hess-27-4385-2023
Catalogue ID
SNmokbvxps-vf1s7r
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