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Peer-reviewed

Climate change impacts on flood risk and asset damages within mapped 100-year floodplains of the contiguous United States

Cameron Wobus, E. D. Gutmann, Russell Jones, Matthew Rissing, Naoki Mizukami, Mark Lorie, Hardee Mahoney, Andrew W. Wood, David Mills, Jeremy Martinich

Natural hazards and earth system sciences · 2017

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Summary

Abstract. A growing body of work suggests that the extreme weather events that drive inland flooding are likely to increase in frequency and magnitude in a warming climate, thus potentially increasing flood damages in the future. We use hydrologic projections based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) to estimate changes in the frequency of modeled 1 % annual exceedance probability (1 % AEP, or 100-year) flood events at 57 116 stream reaches across the contiguous United States (CONUS). We link these flood projections to a database of assets within mapped flood hazard zones to model changes in inland flooding damages throughout the CONUS over the remainder of the 21st century. Our model generates early 21st century flood damages that reasonably approximate the range

Source type
Peer-reviewed study
DOI
10.5194/nhess-17-2199-2017
Catalogue ID
SNmokbvzk1-8k8pz5
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