Summary
This IGD industry report provides forward-looking modelling of UK food price inflation, forecasting a peak of around 5.1% in 2025 before projected moderation through 2026–2027. Drawing on macroeconomic indicators, supply chain cost pressures, and retail data, the report offers a structured outlook relevant to grocery retailers, food manufacturers, and policy analysts. It serves primarily as a planning and decision-support tool for industry stakeholders rather than an academic research contribution.
UK applicability
The report is wholly UK-focused, providing directly applicable context for assessing the economic backdrop against which consumers make food purchasing decisions, including the affordability of nutrient-dense diets. It is relevant to policy discussions on food poverty, dietary inequality, and retail strategy within the UK market.
Key measures
Food Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate (%); projected price trajectories by food category; year-on-year change estimates 2025–2027
Outcomes reported
The report projects UK food inflation trends across 2025–2027, estimating a peak rate of approximately 5.1% in 2025, with implications for household food expenditure and retail sector planning.
Topic tags
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