◆ Pillar 5 of 6 · Weight 15% · Most lagging
Diet-related disease burden
Annual cost of diet-related chronic disease to the UK economy, expressed as a share of NHS spend. Lower cost is better, mapped to a higher score on the 0–100 scale. Baseline reference: the £268bn cost-of-inaction figure. Pillar weight: 15%. The most lagging indicator of the six.
Phase 0 placeholder narrative: diet-related chronic disease cost continues at the upper end of the £268bn estimate.
Methodology
Inverted scaling: cost ≥ £300bn maps to red; £220–300bn to amber; cost ≤ £220bn to green. Thresholds are documented in the methodology page. A rolling three-year average smooths annual reporting noise. Velocity is computed only on actual annual readings; interpolated months carry the prior velocity forward unchanged.
Primary sources
- NHS England diet-related condition cost data — public + derived. Status: partially available.
- Office for Health Improvement and Disparities (OHID) chronic disease prevalence — public, available.
- ONS health expenditure series — public, available.
Underlying evidence
Pulse Brain studies feeding this pillar: /evidence/?topic=diet-disease.