Summary
This 2016 Lancet modelling study integrated climate projections, agricultural productivity forecasts, and epidemiological evidence to estimate how future food production under climate change could affect human health globally and by region. The work synthesised trade-offs between agricultural adaptation strategies, dietary shifts, and population-level nutritional and health outcomes, demonstrating the complex interconnections between climate impacts on farming systems and downstream human health consequences. The findings are intended to inform climate mitigation and adaptation policy in the food and agriculture sector.
UK applicability
As a global modelling study, the findings provide context for UK food security and dietary health policy under climate scenarios, particularly regarding reliance on imported foods and the health effects of potential dietary transitions. However, region-specific results would be needed to assess direct applicability to UK agricultural adaptation and nutrition policy.
Key measures
Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), mortality attributable to nutritional deficiencies and diet-related diseases, regional variation in health outcomes, agricultural productivity under climate scenarios
Outcomes reported
The study estimated global and regional health effects (mortality and morbidity) resulting from changes in food production under climate change scenarios. It quantified the interplay between climate-driven agricultural productivity shifts, potential dietary adaptations, and resulting population-level health impacts across regions.
Topic tags
Dig deeper with Pulse AI.
Pulse AI has read the whole catalogue. Ask about this record, its theme, or how the findings apply to UK farming and policy — every answer cites the underlying studies.