Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Peer-reviewed

Modelling the potential impact of food taxes based on nutrient and energy content in the UK: a simulation study

Danying Li; M. Gressier; Zoe Hill; Jack J Olney; V. Targett; Michelle Young; Franco Sassi

British Journal of Nutrition · 2025

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Summary

Abstract Building on the success of the Soft Drinks Industry Levy (SDIL), new tax proposals have been considered in the public health policy debate in the UK. To inform such debate, estimates of the potential impacts of alternative tax scenarios are of critical importance. Using a modelling approach, we studied the effects of two tax scenarios: (1) a hypothetical excise tax designed to tax food products included in the Sugar Reduction Programme (SRP), accounting for pack size to reduce the convenience of purchasing larger quantities at once; (2) an ad valorem tax targeting products based on the UK Nutrient Profile Model (NPM). Simulations of scenario 1 show a reduction in sugar purchased of up to 38 %, with the largest decreases observed for sweet confectionery with a tiered tax, similar i

Subject
Measurement methods & nutrient profiling
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
System type
Other
DOI
10.1017/s000711452400182x
Catalogue ID
NRmooj5def-004
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