Pulse Brain · Growing Health Evidence Index
Tier 4 — Narrative / commentaryPeer-reviewed

Assessing extremes in hydroclimatology: A review on probabilistic methods

Sofia D. Nerantzaki, Simon Michael Papalexiou

Journal of Hydrology · 2021

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Summary

This 2021 review by Nerantzaki and Papalexiou synthesises probabilistic methodologies for assessing extremes in hydroclimatology—a field concerned with modelling and predicting extreme precipitation, streamflow, and drought events. The work appears to consolidate statistical and computational approaches to characterising tail behaviour and uncertainty in hydrological systems, relevant to understanding climate-driven variability in water availability. While not directly focused on agriculture or food systems, the review may inform hydrological risk assessment underlying irrigation design, water security, and resilience planning in farming.

Regional applicability

The methodological scope of this hydroclimatic review is geographically agnostic; probabilistic techniques are applicable to United Kingdom hydrological monitoring and flood/drought forecasting. Applicability to UK farming depends on downstream uptake in water resource and risk assessment tools informing agricultural policy and practice, rather than direct agronomic relevance.

Key measures

Probabilistic methods for extreme value analysis; statistical distributions; confidence intervals and return periods for hydroclimatic extremes

Outcomes reported

This review examines probabilistic methodological approaches for characterising and predicting extreme hydroclimatic phenomena (e.g. floods, droughts). The study likely synthesises statistical and computational techniques used to model tail behaviour in precipitation and streamflow data.

Theme
Climate & resilience
Subject
Out of scope / non-food
Study type
Narrative Review
Study design
Narrative review
Source type
Peer-reviewed study
Status
Published
System type
Other
DOI
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127302
Catalogue ID
SNmqopert4-ubl24p

Topic tags

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